Spain vs. France: World Cup 2026 Semifinal Showdown – Odds, Picks, and Expert Analysis

The World Cup 2026 semifinals deliver a heavyweight clash as Spain, ranked third globally, faces top-ranked France at Dallas Stadium. Both teams boast formidable attacks, with France's Kylian Mbappe leading a potent offense that dismantled Morocco 2-0 in the quarterfinals. Spain, featuring teenage star Lamine Yamal, edged Belgium 2-1 to reach their second-ever semifinal, aiming for a second world title.

France enters as slight favorites at +135 on the 90-minute money line, while Spain sits at +220. The over/under for total goals is set at 2.5, with France -142 to advance. Expert Jon Eimer, riding a 25-16-2 run on World Cup picks, highlights a trend: the last three meetings between these sides all exceeded 2.5 goals, including a nine-goal thriller in their most recent encounter.

Eimer leans toward Over 2.5 goals (-106), citing France's explosive offense—13 of their last 15 matches saw at least three goals—and Spain's aggressive approach, ranking second in shot attempts. Spain's defense finally conceded in the quarterfinals, potentially boosting French confidence. With an average of 3.3 goals in their last 11 competitive meetings, expect an open, attacking semifinal.

For those seeking an edge, Eimer has identified a critical x-factor and locked in three best bets, including two plus-money plays. Visit SportsLine for the full breakdown and to capitalize on his expertise. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET, with streaming available on Fubo. This semifinal promises drama as both nations chase World Cup glory.